UTAH REAL ESTATE INVESTOR

Shut down sprinkler systems and outside faucets. Homeowners can shut down outside faucets, however weatherizing the underground sprinkler system is best performed by industry professionals who will flush the system before the cold sets in, preventing cracked pipes. Also, disconnect any hoses from outside hose bibs to prevent freezing.

By Les Christie, CNNMoney.com staff writer

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — If you thought home prices were bottoming out, you may be wrong. They’re expected to head a lot lower.

Home values are predicted to drop in 342 out of 381 markets during the next year, according to a new forecast of real estate prices.

Overall, the national median home price is predicted to drop 11.3% by June 30, 2010, according to Fiserv, a financial information and analysis firm. For the following year, the firm anticipates some stabilization with prices rising 3.6%.

In the past, Fiserv anticipated the rapid decline in home-sale prices over the past few years — though it underestimated the scope.

Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody’s Economy.com, agreed with Fiserv’s current assessments. “I think more price declines are coming because the foreclosure crisis is not over,” he said.

In fact, those areas with high concentrations of foreclosure sales will experience the steepest drops, according to Fiserv. Miami, for example, is expected to be the biggest loser. Prices are forecast to plunge 29.9% by next June — after having already fallen a whopping 48% during the past three years.

If Fiserv’s forecast holds, Miami real median home price will tumble to $142,000 by June 2011.

In Orlando, Fla., the second-worst performing market, Fiserv anticipates a 27% price collapse by June 2010, followed by a less severe drop the following year. In Hanford, Calif., prices are estimated to drop 26.9% and continue falling 9.5% in 2011; in Naples, Fla., they’re expected to fall 26.8% and then flatten out.

Other notable losers include Las Vegas, where prices have already fallen 54.6% and are expected to lose another 23.9% by June 2010. In Phoenix values have already collapsed by 54% and could fall another 23.4%. In both cities, Fiserv anticipates the losses to continue into 2011, but they will be less than 5%.

The latest forecast is at odds with the past few months of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index. That report has given hope that most housing markets may have already stabilized because the composite index of 20 cities rose in May, June and July. Nationally, it found that home prices have gained 3.6%.

Brad Hunter, chief economist for Metrostudy, which provides housing market information to the industry, however, expects a change in fortunes, however.

“I’m afraid Case-Shiller may be just a temporary reprieve,” he said.

He pointed out that the tax credit for first-time home buyers helped support prices during the three months of Case-Shiller gains. By the end of November, the credit will have been used by 1.8 million homebuyers, at least 355,000 of whom would not have bought a house without the tax break, according to estimates by the National Association of Realtors. But the market assistance ends when the credit expires on Dec. 1.

Hunter also sees a new wave of foreclosure problems coming from higher priced loans and prime mortgages. He expects a high failure rate for option ARM loans that were issued to prime customers so they could buy homes in bubble markets, such as California and Florida. In those areas, prices for even modest homes had skyrocketed.

A handful of metro areas will buck the trend, according to Fiserv. Six markets will remain flat, and 33 will actually post gains. The biggest winner will be the Kennewick, Wash., metro area, where home prices have ramped up 8.9% over the past three years and are expected to increase another 3.4% by June 2010.

Fairbanks, Alaska, prices are anticipated to rise 2.5%, while Anchorage will climb 2.1%. Elmira, N.Y., prices may inch up 1.8%.

The nation’s biggest metro area, New York City, will underperform the nation as a whole over the next two years, according to Fiserv. Prices, which have already fallen 21.7% to a median of $375,000, are expected to fall 17.4% by June 2011.

Home values in the nation’s second largest city, Los Angeles, have fallen 43.3% since June 2006 to a median of $313,000. They are expected to dive another 20.2% over by June 2010, and then start to climb in 2011. Chicago prices, which have fallen 25.2% to $227,000, will drop only 4.1% over the next 12 months and then starting to climb.

The Detroit metro area now has the dubious distinction of having the lowest home prices in the country. Prices have dropped 51.7% to a median of $50,000. They’re expected to fall another 9.1% and then stabilize.

reprint: Realty Times

Realtors, home builders and consumers hoping not just for an extension of the $8,000 tax credit, but an expansion to all buyers in 2010, shouldn’t hold their breath.

That’s because it’s looking more likely that Congress will only agree to a continuation of the current credit beyond its scheduled November 30 termination date.

But that’s not bad news. Just a few weeks back the key question was: will Congress extend the credit at all? Now that looks like a pretty safe bet.

When it comes to tax issues, you’ve got to follow what New York Congressman Charlie Rangel is saying. He’s the chairman of the Ways and Means committee, and no tax legislation has even a chance of getting anywhere without his say-so.

On the other hand, bills he supports, they just about always make it at least to the House floor, and usually beyond.

Here’s what Rangel told reporters last week about the housing tax credit: “There’s no question I think it should be extended,” he said. How long, I haven’t discussed.” Rangel also said he doesn’t thing that “eligibility should be expanded beyond the first-time home buyers,” according to Dow Jones Newswires.

That’s probably the kiss of death for lobbyists pushing for an increase in the maximum credit to $15,000, and expansion of coverage to nearly all buyers of homes in 2010, and an increase in the income limits for eligible purchasers.

The National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders have been the most outspoken advocates of a year long extension and expansion of the credit, up to a maximum $15,000.

Informed of Rangel’s comments, home builders president Jerry Howard said he’s no longer as “optimistic about expansion” as he once was.

But, on the other hand, chairman Rangel’s endorsement of an extension of the credit — for a yet-to-be specified period of months — has got be a lifesaver for thousands of buyers who’ve been worried they’d miss out on this year’s credit because they can’t close their transactions by November 30.

The politics of the tax credit, and the likely rejection of a bigger credit, are all about the budget deficit. Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are looking for ways to cover the multi-billion-dollar revenue costs of an extension of the credit. Some estimates go as high as $15 billion.

One idea advanced by Georgia Republican Sen. Johnny Isakson: tap into some of the unspent economic stimulus bill money still sitting in the $800 billion economic stimulus bill.

Inspect the attic and basement or crawlspace. Insulate voids in the attic – the entire attic floor above a living space should be insulated with at least six inches of insulation, except around electrical fixtures such as recessed lights that aren’t rated for contact with insulation. Damp basements and crawl spaces can become mold and mildew problems. Watch for leaks from your water heater, plumbing system and seeping rain water from the roof. Locate and maintain a clear access to your main water shut off valve. If you have a sump pump, test, clean and lubricate it.

Maintain steps and handrails. Repair broken steps and secure loose banisters and handrails. Broken steps can cause a dangerous fall. Similarly, a person slipping will grab a handrail for support.

Inspect exterior walls, doors and windows. Check walls and window sills for damage such as cracks, gaps, loose or crumbling mortar, along with splitting and decaying wood. Caulk exterior joints around windows and doors, which helps keep the home weather tight and lower heating bills. Check windows and doors to make sure locks work properly and that they are in good condition. Clean tracks and lubricate hinges. Repair or replace any cracked windows.

Inspect the roof. Look for damaged or loose shingles, gaps in the flashing at joints with siding, vents and flues, as well as damaged mortar around the chimney.

Maintain gutters. Remove all debris that can slow or impede the ability of water to drain effectively from the roof. Trapped water can be destructive not only to the gutters themselves but to the adjoining roof as well. Make sure gutter water drains away from your home.

Remove excess leaves and damaged branches from trees surrounding the house. Dead branches have the potential to break and fall, ruining roofs, decks, or vehicles and the possibly causing injuries to people.

Test fire alarms, smoke detectors and carbon monoxide detectors, and vacuum out the dust. Batteries should be checked every six months to ensure that they’re working.